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Insights

Show the evidence. Explain the method. Test the conclusion.

Articles, technical notes, case studies and models that expose the analytical structure behind consequential financial decisions.

One knowledge system

Decision. Method. Evidence.

The spreadsheet is rarely the hardest part. The harder problem is putting the correct analytical structure around the decision before calculation begins.

01

Articles

First-principles explanations of modelling intuitions that are reasonable, but incomplete or wrong.

02

Technical Notes

Implementation detail, model architecture, testing, assumptions and analytical guardrails.

03

Cases & Models

Decision context and working quantitative evidence that make the method inspectable.

Featured Insight

A project can be easy to finance and still be a poor investment. It can also be an attractive investment but difficult to finance. A model that cannot distinguish those conclusions is not yet ready to support a capital-allocation decision.

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Publication index

Applied modelling judgement.

1 publication

Start with the decision

Bring us the financial decision.

Tell us the question, intended users, constraints and evidence already available. We will help put the right analytical structure around it.

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